All Reports:

February 27, 2026

Very Important Trend Line

By Terence W. Brogan

I have a very significant memory from when I was in 4th grade, it was a typical Sunday afternoon sitting at the dining room table doing my homework and across the table was my father…

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February 27, 2026

Positioning for Turbulence: The VIX Warning Signal

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 VIX indicator pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 26, 2026

A Market on Thin Ice

By Bob Brogan

The market appears stable, but the surface is deceiving. Major indices such as the S&P 500 continue to grind higher in an orderly fashion, masking what is increasingly fragile internals. Sector divergences are widening, leadership…

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February 26, 2026

High Beta ~ Money Flows Negative & Low Volatility ~ Money Flows Positive

By Terence W. Brogan

On Monday we showed the Relative Performance Sell Signal for High Momentum and High Beta and Buy Signals for Low Momentum and Low Beta. Today we are showing the High Frequency Money Flow Breadth of…

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February 25, 2026

Looking for our TRIX Price Indicator to go positive!

By Bob Brogan

Copper and silver markets are experiencing a significant resurgence as of February 25, 2026, driven by renewed Chinese demand and a surge in investor inflows. Copper has recaptured the $6.00/lb level on the COMEX, buoyed…

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February 25, 2026

Credit Spreads Teetering on The Edge of Widening ~ Sell High Yield Bonds

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday we spoke about selling good charts (positive momentum) which is another name for selling positive trends. Today we are looking at the best chart in the Bond market and that is the Risk-On chart…

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February 24, 2026

AI Shock and Trade Escalation Trigger Risk-Off Break

By Bob Brogan

Technicals continue to deteriorate as Trade Shock and AI disruption drive rotation from a technical perspective. U.S. equity markets are now collectively bearish, and Monday’s price action confirmed the shift. The sell-off was triggered by…

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February 24, 2026

Momentum & Beta Factor Inversion

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday Jeff DeGraff came out on CNBC and talked about how Momentum is overbought/extended and it is time to Sell good charts in Technology. He also spoke about how momentum models can become negative correlated…

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February 23, 2026

The Fear Indicator is activated!

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 (VIX indicator) pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 23, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Negative ~ Recommend Defensive Assets

By Terence W. Brogan

As you can see from the charts below, we are still hiding in our bunker because it is a major blizzard outside! Our Risk-On/Risk-Off Money Flow Model turned negative Feb 2nd, and we moved from…

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February 20, 2026

Private Equity on Fire!

By Terence W. Brogan

An old client of ours back in 2005 when he ran his hedge fund in Boston, George Noble, published a big, bad, bear tweet on the private equity market yesterday which I am showing in…

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February 19, 2026

When King Dollar Gets Too Hated

By Bob Brogan

Speculators are betting big against King Dollar. EUR longs have surged to six-year highs, pushing toward 1.19–1.20, while USD net-short exposure has climbed to $20.5 billion, the most bearish since mid-2025. Market sentiment is stretched…

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February 19, 2026

Technology Sector ~ Major Bearish/ Negative Divergence/ Sell Signal Triggered

By Terence W. Brogan

Today’s report is not going to come to a surprise to most readers given the crash in software that we saw over the past several weeks. However, what we are showing today tells us that…

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February 18, 2026

The market looks calm. It isn’t.

By Bob Brogan

At first glance, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 appear steady. Volatility seems contained and headlines are quiet. But beneath the surface, conditions resemble past periods of transition or mounting stress. Put-call skew in the Nasdaq-100…

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February 18, 2026

Concentration vs. Dispersion

By Terence W. Brogan

Sometime jargon can be very confusing, and some basic logic can help make a big, complicated picture allot smaller and easier to understand. I feel this way with all this talk about the term market…

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