All Reports:

August 24, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 22, 2026

S&P500 Bear Market Versus Hard Assets

By Terence W. Brogan

On August 11th, we published a report highlighting how the equity market, when denominated in Energy, is in a negative trend. Two days ago, we followed that with a Money Flow Buy Signal for the…

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August 21, 2026

AI May Change the World — But the AI Trade May Be in Danger

By Bob Brogan

We believe Artificial Intelligence will transform the global economy. But the technology can succeed while the AI trade fails. Trillions are being committed to chips, data centers, power and AI infrastructure before the ultimate returns…

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August 20, 2026

WHEN CORRELATIONS BREAK — THE MARKET’S HIDDEN WARNING

By Bob Brogan

“The S&P 500 is still sending a bullish headline signal, but the internal message is becoming increasingly cautious. Leadership is narrowing, momentum is fracturing, and the stocks carrying the market are becoming less reliable. The…

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August 20, 2026

Vagilities Calling Bessent’s Bluff ~ Continue to Play Defense

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re highlighting interest rates again, as they remain the lynchpin on the front page. Yields continue to show money‑flow breakouts and rising momentum, with rates holding a positive trend above the 50‑day moving average….

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August 19, 2026

QE Does NOT Lower Rates

By Terence W. Brogan

Looks like Scott Bessent is at it again, QE5 and nobody explains the effect of QE better than Tom McClellan. Unfortunately, historically QE’s have had the opposite effect on interest rates and Scott thinks the…

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August 19, 2026

Tomorrow’s employment data could be a major market catalyst.

By Bob Brogan

Weak jobless claims would initially be bullish as investors price in greater odds of Fed easing. But our chart is sending a different warning: the S&P 500 remains near record highs while our SELL signals…

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August 18, 2026

Good morning from the “Signal Report” it is Tuesday, August 18, 2026

By Bob Brogan

If Thursday’s “Employment Report” is materially weaker than expected, the initial market reaction could be bullish, but the second reaction could be very bearish. A weak report could immediately push Treasury yields and the dollar…

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August 18, 2026

Interest Ratio Breakout ~ Money Flows Struggling

By Terence W. Brogan

Two very important charts to highlight today: interest rates are breaking out to new multi‑year highs (last seen in ’07), and money‑flow breadth across the large‑, mid‑, and small‑cap markets is not confirming the market’s…

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August 17, 2026

Market Highs, Rising Risks

By Bob Brogan

Equities are making fresh highs, but beneath the surface, risk is rising. Volatility is unusually cheap, investors remain under-positioned, and short-gamma dealers could fuel another powerful leg higher. The chase may not be over, but…

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August 17, 2026

Money Flow Model ~ Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 14, 2026

One of My Favorite Indicators: J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement System

By Bob Brogan

Today, I am rolling out one of my favorite indicators, bestowed upon us by the creator of the Directional Movement Indicator (DMI), including the +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) and −DI (Negative Directional Indicator): J. Welles…

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August 14, 2026

High Cost of Capital ~ Historically Stalls Stock Market

By Terence W. Brogan

I believe in Occam’s Razor and the KISS method, because keeping things simple is often the best way to understand the world around us. Today we’re going to take a straightforward look at the Cost…

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August 13, 2026

Nvidia Deal ($300 billion) Is the Beginning of an End For AI Compute Boom

By Bob Brogan

Three Wall Street trading desks have given similar descriptions of what they see playing out in August: investors are selectively chasing gains without any real conviction, while the key issue remains the growing disconnect between…

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August 13, 2026

Defensive/Non-Cyclicals Equities ~ Double Bottom Set Up

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re highlighting some of our favorite Non‑Cyclical charts — Utilities, Staples, and Healthcare — across Large Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap indices. All three continue to show rising Money Flow momentum in their…

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