October 6, 2026

America’s Wile E. Coyote Moment

By Bob Brogan

…the “Uh-Oh” moment is not coming; it’s already here obviously means this cartoon is being used as a “Wake Up Call metaphor for the financial markets. Wile E. Coyote has already run past the edge…

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October 6, 2026

The Deflationary Crisis ~ Clock is Ticking

By Terence W. Brogan

As the saying goes, “the cure for higher prices is higher prices.” That same principle can be superimposed on today’s biggest problem — inflation. So let’s restate it: “The cure for higher inflation is higher…

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October 5, 2026

BOND VOLATILITY MAY BE THE TRIGGER

By Bob Brogan

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says the market’s extremely poor breadth “must be resolved one way or another.” While the S&P 500 remains near record highs, roughly half the market has already suffered bear-market-type declines. This…

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October 5, 2026

Money Flow Model ~ Still Negative & Struggling

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re starting the week by reviewing the Money Flow Model, which remains negative, though it does appear to be attempting to bottom and holding prior low support. The intermediate‑term moving‑average slope is flattening —…

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October 2, 2026

GOLD PRICE IS DOWN. OUR MONEY FLOW IS NOT.

By Bob Brogan

Gold has pulled back roughly 5% from the start of 2026, but our Daily and Weekly Money Flow readings remain VERY, VERY BULLISH. This is an important divergence: price is weakening, but the underlying flow…

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October 2, 2026

Cyclicals Breaking Out Versus Non-Cyclicals

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday was a big day for our Cyclical Index versus our Non‑Cyclicals, with a +1% outperformance rally in Large Caps, +1.6% in Mid-Caps, and +2% in Small Caps. This type of market action makes you…

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October 1, 2026

Money Flow Model Negative & Semi’s Still Newly Bullish

By Terence W. Brogan

Last Thursday we spoke about the linear world we’re in, with interest rates breaking out to levels we haven’t seen in 20 years. As we’ve been discussing for six months—ever since our Money Flow Model…

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October 1, 2026

The Real Interest rate Story: 8% cannot be dismissed

By Bob Brogan

The real story is NOT simply whether the 10-year Treasury reaches 6%. It is the enormous amount of new debt competing for the world’s available investment capital. U.S. corporations are borrowing trillions for AI, data…

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September 30, 2026

BROGAN GROUP MONEY FLOW SAW THE DETERIORATION BEFORE THE INDEXES DID

By Bob Brogan

Our Money Flow and BA models have once again been correct in identifying the deterioration in the U.S. equity markets before it became obvious in the major indexes. While the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow…

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September 30, 2026

Bond Yields Overbought ~ Bond Price Oversold ~ Key Reversal Set Up

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re focusing on the bond market, because what we expected to happen — a yield breakout confirmed by our Money Flow Analysis — has now occurred. At this point, the setup is getting interesting:…

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September 29, 2026

Money Flow Breadth Negative & Cyclicals @ Support

By Terence W. Brogan

Our Money Flow Model remains deeply negative and is now at a level where we typically see accumulation begin and buyers step in to support the market. As we noted yesterday, this is the phase…

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September 28, 2026

BONDS ARE WARNING. STOCKS ARE NOT LISTENING.

By Bob Brogan

The bond market is sending a warning investors should not ignore. MOVE, the bond market’s volatility index, has surged, while the 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5% and recently reached its highest levels since…

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September 28, 2026

Money Flow Model ~ Still Negative w/ Resistance

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re starting the week by reviewing the Money Flow Model, which remains negative, though it does appear to be attempting to bottom and holding prior low support. The intermediate‑term moving‑average slope is flattening —…

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September 25, 2026

The Calm Before the Move

By Bob Brogan

Stocks still look remarkably calm on the surface. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain trapped in their ranges, and the VIX has barely reacted. But underneath, the message is becoming harder to ignore. Bond-market volatility…

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September 25, 2026

The Only Bull Market in Town

By Terence W. Brogan

Last Friday we published a key report comparing the S&P 500 Cyclical sectors against the GSCI — highlighting that with Commodities in a clear Bull Market, the only equity Bull Market left standing is Semiconductors…

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