May 21, 2026

Inflation & Demand Destruction

By Terence W. Brogan

Last Friday we did a very simple, basic report on the price of RBOB Gasoline Futures and the fact that price of Gas right now is in the prior high “Demand Destruction Zone”. As we…

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May 21, 2026

U.S. Long Bond Warning: 30-Year Yields Signal Growing Fiscal Stress

By Bob Brogan

U.S. 30-year Treasury yields briefly surged above 5.18%, their highest level since 2007, back when the global financial system was sitting on the edge of the Financial Crisis. The warning this time is not coming…

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May 20, 2026

Money Flows Continue to Struggle

By Terence W. Brogan

The markets are in a very interesting Bearish position with prices hovering around prior high resistance, our Money Flow Breadth struggling to turn positive and the Relative Performance of Non-Cyclicals (risk-off/defense) versus Cyclicals (risk-on/offense) recording…

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May 20, 2026

AI Momentum Fatigue & The Growing Macro Risk Beneath The Surface

By Bob Brogan

Investors have turned the AI melt-up into one of the most aggressively upside-chased markets in years even as rates volatility, sovereign debt stress, and macro uncertainty continue building beneath the surface. The AI leadership trade…

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May 19, 2026

Best Sector & Industry Group

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we wanted to show the best money flow & relative performance sector in the stock market as well as the best money flow & relative performance industry group. Both groups of stocks are mutually…

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May 19, 2026

FYI: The Emerging U.S.-China Strategic Balance

By Bob Brogan

FYI: The emerging U.S.-China relationship increasingly resembles a highly strategic balance between confrontation and mutual dependence. While Washington continues aggressively reducing semiconductor vulnerability by helping TSMC expand advanced chip manufacturing capacity in Arizona, with total…

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May 18, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we are showing an update of the Money Flow Model as it is still negative and deeply so even with this record-breaking rally off the March lows. We continue to hold our Non-Cyclical/Defensive positions…

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May 18, 2026

Hold the U.S. Congress in Contempt!

By Bob Brogan

The real issue today is that Congress has been unwilling to stop deficit spending now or ever! Long-duration Treasury yields have been rising sharply while inflation expectations remain sticky. That combination creates a much more…

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May 15, 2026

Demand Destruction Zone

By Terence W. Brogan

18 years ago I heard the term “Demand Destruction” for the first time and I immediately understood what it meant because I never forget where I was when Oil hit $145 a barrel. I was…

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May 15, 2026

The Most Dangerous Part of This Market Isn’t What Investors Think

By Bob Brogan

The real danger in this market is not the collapse of the AI leaders everyone is watching for — it’s the violent unwinding of the other side of the trade. Just as in the final…

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May 14, 2026

Money Flows Continue to Struggle

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday we spoke about our Advance/Decline Line Money Flows on the Large Cap Common Stocks. Today we are going to go back to the Money Flow Breadth of the induvial constituents of the Large, Mid…

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May 14, 2026

The AI Trade’s Liquidity Engine Is Starting To Crack

By Bob Brogan

The real warning sign is no longer software hype — it is the violent unwind developing underneath the semiconductor complex, particularly in the iShares Semiconductor ETF, where momentum leadership is beginning to fracture as our…

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May 13, 2026

McClellan Summation ~ Sell Signal & Brogan AD Line Money Flow ~ Bearish

By Terence W. Brogan

As a stock market technician, the McClellan family has a very special place in the history of technical analysis. Tom McClellan is a great stock market technician and heir of his parent’s seminal work with…

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May 13, 2026

Peak Perfection? Why Risk Management Matters Right Now

By Bob Brogan

Everything is perfect! Earnings are gliding higher in a near-perfect line, margins are exploding, and forecasts scream 20% growth. It’s clean, it’s smooth, it’s almost… too smooth. When the chart starts looking engineered, you have…

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May 12, 2026

Interest Rate, Oil & VIX Poised to Go Higher

By Terence W. Brogan

Since the March 31st market low our Money Flow Model has been negative and stayed negative during this record-breaking rally which as we’ve been noting has set up a negative divergent pattern (positive price with…

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