We all had our ears glued to Warch’s first Fed conference, and I have to say it was very interesting—and even comical—with all the task forces he is putting in place. It sounds like he…

The chart below highlights a remarkable development: by several widely followed valuation measures, U.S. equities are now trading at their richest levels in more than a century—even exceeding the peaks reached during 1929 and the…

This has happened only two times in history—during the final phase of the dot-com bubble and today. The statement refers to the CAPE Ratio (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio) crossing the 40 mark, or to extreme…

Last Wednesday we talked about Buying Value as we have been recording fast Relative Performance Ratio 52 MACD Buy Signals. Today we are reiterating that call as we are recording a Relative Performance Ratio 104…

Back in 1987 my father and his former partner Marc Chaikin joined forces to create the first live windows based financial analytics software called BOMAR (Bob & Marc) which was sold to Instinet/Reuter in 1992….

Semiconductors are ripping, hedge funds remain all-in on AI, tech volatility is behaving in ways we rarely see, and the 1997 analogy continues to track with uncanny precision. Whether this is the start of something…

Friday’s CPI report showed inflation running at 4.2%, the highest level in more than three years. Producer prices were even hotter, with PPI rising 6.5%, the strongest reading since late 2022. These reports do not…

Today we are starting the week with an update of the Money Flow Model, and it is still in a Non-Cyclical, Defensive position since turning negative March 31st. As you can see from the first…

The recent market decline appears to be more than a routine technology correction. Market leadership is narrowing, volatility is rising, consumer conditions are softening, and credit markets are beginning to question the economic returns on…

Right off the bat, looking at the charts below and I’m thinking defense all the way! We typically look at a rising USD as a flight to safety asset and best used during periods of…

Quoth the Raven: One of the most important developments investors may be overlooking is not occurring in the stock market—it is occurring in the credit markets. For much of the AI boom, capital appeared unlimited….

Last Friday was not only a Bearish shot across the bow but an actual shot that landed and it landed straight on the VIX! Last Friday the VIX experienced a Bearish Breakout of the 50-…

“Six of one, half dozen of the other” is what comes to mind when I look at the relative performance of defensive, low beta, low volatility, low Mo, non-cyclicals equities versus the S&P500. Simply stated,…

Today’s reversal may ultimately prove to be just another volatile session in an ongoing bull market. But investors would be making a mistake if they dismissed it outright. Markets rarely peak because of a single…

“Bear market signposts have risen to 70%, matching the average level seen at prior market peaks.” — Bank of America Before Friday’s selloff, investors were aggressively chasing upside, paying more for calls than puts—a classic…