
September 28, 2026
Today we’re starting the week by reviewing the Money Flow Model, which remains negative, though it does appear to be attempting to bottom and holding prior low support. The intermediate‑term moving‑average slope is flattening —…
September 25, 2026
Stocks still look remarkably calm on the surface. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain trapped in their ranges, and the VIX has barely reacted. But underneath, the message is becoming harder to ignore. Bond-market volatility…
September 25, 2026
Last Friday we published a key report comparing the S&P 500 Cyclical sectors against the GSCI — highlighting that with Commodities in a clear Bull Market, the only equity Bull Market left standing is Semiconductors…
September 24, 2026
Interest rates finally broke out to new multi‑year cycle highs yesterday — exactly what our Money Flows had been forecasting. Now what? As I’ve been noting for months, a breakout in interest rates — if…
September 24, 2026
WHAT IS MOVE — AND WHY SHOULD EQUITY INVESTORS CARE? MOVE is essentially the “VIX of the bond market.” It measures expected volatility in U.S. Treasury yields. When MOVE rises, it tells us the bond…
September 23, 2026
Our low frequency Money Flow Model remains Bearish on Cyclicals, and our positioning is still owning defensive Non‑Cyclicals. But something is clearly happening beneath the surface — specifically within the Digital Economy (Agentic AI) —…
September 23, 2026
The Trump-Xi summit will dominate the headlines and may move markets for a day or two. But the bigger investment story sits beneath the diplomacy. Regardless of the outcome, the AI race and the scramble…
September 22, 2026
As we’ve been noting for several weeks, Jeff deGraaf and team have been shorting SOXX at the 50‑day moving average. But as we all know, bulls, bears, and pigs — nothing lasts forever. On Friday,…
September 22, 2026
Oil is no longer simply an energy-sector trade. Oil is now a market-wide risk indicator. If crude turns higher again while the 10-year yield moves back through 5%, that combination would tell us that inflation…
September 21, 2026
Today we’re starting the week by reviewing the Money Flow Model, which remains negative, though it does appear to be attempting to bottom. The intermediate‑term moving‑average slope is flattening — an essential early step before…
September 21, 2026
The market is coiling and the Nasdaq is trapped inside a huge triangle, the S&P refuses to leave its range and Russell is sitting on major long-term support. Oil is driving rates, rates are driving…
September 18, 2026
Light Crude Oil Futures are trading near $102.26, with our weekly Money Flow turning positive and the weekly TRIX confirming improving momentum. The longer-term uptrend remains intact, suggesting crude could continue higher toward our upper…
September 18, 2026
As my father taught me 25 years ago when I entered this business: “If you want to know what inflation is doing, simply look at the CRB Index — it will tell you everything you…
September 17, 2026
The most important question to ask when identifying where to make money is simple: Where is the primary bull market? Today, that answer is clear to us (and to everyone): the bull market remains in…
September 17, 2026
The Federal Reserve has a problem that cannot be solved with one interest-rate instrument. It is being asked to deal with two very different problems at the same time: inflation and economic growth. The Fed…