
February 4, 2026
Over the past several days we have been inundated by requests for meetings to review the markets and most specifically clients want to know what’s going to happen with our Money Flow Model’s signal in…
February 3, 2026
Private credit and BDC-style lenders are under pressure as the market starts to reassess how much exposure sits inside loan books tied to the software sector. From what I’m seeing, roughly a fifth of many…
February 3, 2026
As of yesterday’s close, we officially rotated from our Risk-On/Cyclicals, High Beta, Offensive Assets to our Risk-Off/Non-Cyclical, Low Beta, Defensive Assets. Below we show our Money Flow Model signals and the performance that was achieved…
February 2, 2026
The recent sharp selloff in gold and silver across futures and spot markets highlights how strongly short-term pricing is driven by paper positioning rather than purely by physical supply and demand. Large futures and options…
February 2, 2026
Today is the day, not only is our Money Flow Model (low frequency) turning Bearish with Friday’s close, but our High Frequency Money Flow Breadth continues to look very ominous with triple negative divergence on…
January 30, 2026
Our Money Flow Model signal is getting closer, now 2bps away from the Risk-Off/Bear Cross. When it happens, we will sell our equal-weighed Cyclicals and buy our equal weighted Non-Cyclicals. Below we show three very…
January 30, 2026
Wouldn’t it be great if, while U.S. markets are crashing—yesterday, today, tomorrow, over the weekend, and for many weeks and months to come—we recognize from our perspective why we must not delay mandating and acquiring…
January 29, 2026
The Shanghai Gold Hoard Is Forcing Gold Into BofA’s Bubble-Risk Zone. Capex spending has increased across the board. The market is just rewarding the ability to monetize it, while placing question marks on companies that…
January 29, 2026
Well, I did not see that one coming, I really thought it would turn negative today! Not only did the Model not turn negative but the faster moving average turned up and is now rising…
January 28, 2026
Well, I think it is safe to say our Money Flow Model will be negative by tomorrow as we are now 5bps away from a Negative Cross/Sell Signal where we will Sell our Cyclicals/Risk-On/High Beta…
January 28, 2026
Recent geopolitical shocks and rate-linked policy moves have pushed investors back into gold, silver, and select industrial metals, marking a renewed leg of the “debasement trade” as hard assets gain favor amid currency devaluation and…
January 27, 2026
Over the past 18 months we’ve favored gold and silver as practical hedges against a steadily weakening U.S. dollar, viewing both metals as strategic supports to confidence in the broader monetary system. With the gold–silver…
January 27, 2026
We continue to have more evidence that the non-cyclical trade is setting up for Alpha Production. Below is the Relative Performance Money Flows of our All-Cap Non-Cyclical versus Cyclical and the counter-trend positive divergence buy…
January 26, 2026
On January 22, 2026, gold posted what technicians call a “golden reversal,” after reaching a record high near $4,888 the prior day and then forming a textbook “shooting-star” candlestick, a pattern that typically signals short-term…
January 26, 2026
According to Reuters, a proposed 68-page U.S. bill would establish a federally governed stockpile of critical minerals including Silver, lithium, nickel, and rare earths, underscoring Washington’s push to secure supply chains vital to energy transition,…