All Reports:

August 14, 2026

High Cost of Capital ~ Historically Stalls Stock Market

By Terence W. Brogan

I believe in Occam’s Razor and the KISS method, because keeping things simple is often the best way to understand the world around us. Today we’re going to take a straightforward look at the Cost…

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August 13, 2026

Nvidia Deal ($300 billion) Is the Beginning of an End For AI Compute Boom

By Bob Brogan

Three Wall Street trading desks have given similar descriptions of what they see playing out in August: investors are selectively chasing gains without any real conviction, while the key issue remains the growing disconnect between…

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August 13, 2026

Defensive/Non-Cyclicals Equities ~ Double Bottom Set Up

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re highlighting some of our favorite Non‑Cyclical charts — Utilities, Staples, and Healthcare — across Large Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap indices. All three continue to show rising Money Flow momentum in their…

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August 12, 2026

URGENT CLIENT ALERT: NVIDIA — WARNING SIGNS BEFORE THE NEXT SHAKEOUT

By Bob Brogan

Good morning,KEY POINTS:• Nvidia may be a great business, but its AI financing creates significant ecosystem risk.• Investors should watch the debt, financing structures, and counterparty exposure behind the massive AI infrastructure build-out.• If AI…

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August 12, 2026

SEMI’s ~ Two Out of Three Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we want to share what we’ll be presenting at the CMT meeting: our new Semi/AI Money Flow & Relative Performance Breadth Models. We walk through the charts by first reviewing the traditional technical indicator…

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August 11, 2026

THE CRASH MAY BE THE CURE — AND THE WARNING SIGNALS ARE GROWING

By Bob Brogan

Dr. Jeff Deist URGENT CLIENT ALERT The market is approaching a point where economic reality may finally overwhelm financial engineering. For years, excessive debt, monetary intervention, fiscal spending and speculation have postponed the inevitable adjustment….

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August 11, 2026

Petrodollar

By Terence W. Brogan

In 2022, during the breakout in inflation, I was finally enlightened by the whole long‑duration versus short‑duration classification framework. Quite honestly, I never truly understood the jargon outside the bond market. Throughout my career since…

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August 10, 2026

THE FED JUST SENT A POWERFUL SIGNAL FOR GOLD & SILVER

By Bob Brogan

Silver is back near $64 an ounce, and we believe this move is far more than speculation. Friday’s unexpectedly weak employment report changed the equation: the dollar weakened, Treasury yields fell, and expectations for another…

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August 10, 2026

Money Flow Model ~ Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 7, 2026

Counter-Trend/ Sell High Beta & Momentum & Buy Low Beta & Momentum

By Terence W. Brogan

June 10th was the last time we reviewed Low Beta and Low Momentum, where we issued a Bull Report. Today we’re expanding and reiterating that work by pairing those factors with their counterparts—High Beta and…

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August 7, 2026

Money Flow Alert: Rising Treasury Yields Signal Growing Market Risk

By Bob Brogan

The stock market may be making new highs, but beneath the surface, the risk picture is deteriorating. Technology leadership remains hesitant, long-term Treasury yields have surged above 5%—their highest level since 2007—and rising yields are…

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August 6, 2026

Sell Growth & Buy Value

By Terence W. Brogan

July 28th was our last update on the Growth/Value trade, and with this strong bear‑market rally in Growth since Scott Bessent attempted to halt the rise in U.S. bond yields, we wanted to bring everyone…

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August 6, 2026

Gold’s Next Major Move: A Rare Long-Term Opportunity

By Bob Brogan

Gold: The Most Compelling Defensive Investment Opportunity of the Decade History teaches us that the greatest investment opportunities emerge when governments accumulate excessive debt, monetary policy falls behind inflation, and investor confidence in paper currencies…

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August 5, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 5, 2026

The Biggest Gold Holders Just Keep Buying Gold

By Bob Brogan

Gold has climbed above $4,100 per ounce and is heading toward its first monthly gain since the Middle East conflict began. The advance has come despite renewed fighting between the United States and Iran, which…

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