All Reports:

China has quietly escalated its economic confrontation with the U.S. by weaponizing strategic metals. Recent restrictions on rare earth exports, combined with tighter controls across key industrial inputs such as gallium, graphite, and silver-linked supply…

My children got a very nice present from my father for Christmas, Silver, and quite honestly, I am very happy because yes Silver is in a 1980 style parabolic advance but versus the digital alternative…

If 2025 was a year of adjustment, 2026 looks like a year of consolidation and consequence. Optimism persists, but beneath resilient risk assets lie structural volatility, geopolitical strain, and fiscal stress and AI remains the…

Since our Money Flow Model turned positive July 21st, we have been looking for higher price action (inflation) on all economically sensitive assets including higher interest rates (sell bonds) and higher energy prices. As you…

I’m surprised the markets are holding up. On the surface, price action looks resilient and money flows into equities remain positive. But underneath, the signals are increasingly unstable. The clearest tell is not in stocks—it’s…

On Monday we presented the Bear Story as our high frequency Money Flow Breadth has been steadily declining, recording negative divergence. As we stated in the report, if this divergence is not broken (on the…

J.P. Morgan now assigns a 60% probability to a U.S. recession in 2025, and with equity valuations elevated, margins under pressure, and policy risk rising, a bear market decline of more than 20% is a…

Yesterday we talked about the selling pressure that we have been seeing on our high frequency money flow model which has us looking over our shoulder for the next Bear Trend in the stock market….

Today we are going to look over our shoulders for the Bear Story because there is a concerning distribution pattern happening under the surface that we are watching very closely. Below we are showing two…

The probability of an equity soft landing next year has declined materially. The soft-landing narrative is already embedded in asset prices, earnings expectations, and economic forecasts, leaving markets vulnerable to repricing if those assumptions fail….

Today, quad witching brings the simultaneous expiration of stock-index futures, options on stock-index futures, single-stock options, and index options—an event that often drives elevated volatility and trading volume. In 2025, quad witching occurs on March…

Today we are going to continue with our relative performance analysis of the Cyclical and look at them versus the pure Technology sector. As everyone knows, the S&P500 is skewed by its heavy weighting in…

Central banks have fundamentally altered the global gold market, transforming from net sellers to aggressive buyers in what represents one of the most significant shifts in monetary policy of the modern era. Over the past…

Today we are going to continue with our higher interest rate theme caused by the continued historical money printing over the past 15 years. As the saying goes; “To many dollars chasing too few goods”…

Since February 20, 2024, we can clearly see how Gold Futures made numerous technical tests of its own lower 200-dma and finally crossed above this rigid barrier above while unwinding Gold Futures and finally took…