April 15, 2026

Liquidity Diminishing

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we are showing the Money Flow Model again because we cannot ignore the significant negative divergence (model lower highs as market makes higher highs). Our Money Flow Model is a measure of the closing…

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April 15, 2026

U.S. Equities Markets now in Consolidation Phase

By Bob Brogan

Right now the market is basically caught between two possible paths. One path is the bad outcome where things get worse again especially with global tensions. The other path is the good outcome where things…

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April 14, 2026

Hormuz Enters Active Control Phase — Markets Confront Energy Shock Risk

By Bob Brogan

The U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait of Hormuz, initiated at 10:00 a.m. ET yesterday, appears to remain in force as of this morning, with no indication of de-escalation overnight. This marks…

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April 14, 2026

Cyclicals ~ Bearish Counter-Trend ; Non-Cyclical ~ Bullish Counter-Tend ; Yields ~ Bullish Counter-Trend

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we want to look at the relative performance ratio of our Cyclicals Index versus our Non-Cyclcial index as we continue to record counter-trend divergence that we believe will lead to a regression to the…

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April 13, 2026

China’s Gold Accumulation Signals a Structural Shift in Global Reserves

By Bob Brogan

China continues to aggressively accumulate gold rather than settle obligations, extending its central bank buying streak to roughly 17 consecutive months, signaling an ongoing structural shift in reserve strategy. While official holdings are reported at…

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April 13, 2026

Money Flow Model Negative ~ Recommending Defensive/Non-Cyclical Positioning

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we wanted to show our Money Flow Model as it is still negative, turning negative March 31st. Since the turning back to a negative position, we are now back in our Non-Cyclcial, Defensive, Low…

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April 10, 2026

Sell Cyclicals (Risk-On) & Buy Non-Cyclicals (Risk-Off)

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we are going to look at the Traditional Relative Performance Ratio of the All-Cap Cyclicals versus All-Cap Non-Cyclicals equal weighted as well as our cumulative money flows and momentum on these equites. What we…

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April 10, 2026

Ceasefire Cracks, Markets Reprice Risk

By Bob Brogan

The ceasefire trade is already breaking down. Markets that priced a clean de-escalation are now confronting a fragile truce, ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption, and rising doubts that this conflict is contained. Oil is no…

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April 9, 2026

Liquidity Exodus

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we are going to look at our High Frequency Money Flow Breadth on the most liquid stocks in the world as seen by the large and mega cap stocks equally weighted. What we can…

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April 9, 2026

The March FOMC Minutes reinforce a “hawkish hold,” leaving policy constrained

By Bob Brogan

The Fed lacks conviction to either tighten or ease, creating an unstable backdrop that argues against any sustained directional move in equities near term. Two-sided risks remain central. Inflation—particularly from energy—could force renewed tightening, while…

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April 8, 2026

Money Flow Model Negative ~ Still in Defensive Position

By Terence W. Brogan

Over the past several months we have seen unprecedented volatility in our Money Flow Model, and the signals have been pretty good as we are still in a substantial alpha position versus the large cap…

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April 8, 2026

Welcome to Reality: The Inflection Point Has Arrived

By Bob Brogan

As of 4-8-2026. Welcome to Reality. We are now entering a counter-trend, likely abortive rally phase. Use this brief strength to further underweight non-core longs and continue building exposure to hard assets—gold, silver, platinum, copper,…

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April 7, 2026

Silver’s Endgame: Almost Too Obvious

By Bob Brogan

The case for silver is now almost too obvious. Silver is setting up for what can only be described as a rare, high-conviction “fat pitch.” The macro backdrop is overwhelmingly aligned: persistent currency debasement tied…

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April 7, 2026

Long-Term Relative Performance Analysis ~ Sell Cyclicals & Buy Non-Cyclicals

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday our Money Flow & Earnings Revision Model turned Negative/Bearish following our March 31st report where we showed our Money Flow & Earnings Revisions Models turning Bearish independently. Our models are now fully Bearish and…

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April 6, 2026

What Comes Next

By Bob Brogan

Markets are now focused almost entirely on today’s April 6 deadline and the potential for either a short-term relief rally or, more likely, a period of extreme volatility tied to Middle East developments and oil…

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