March 6, 2026

Earnings Revision Model ~ Still Positive & Holding Support

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we are going to look at our Earning Revision Model because it is amazing as to what it did! We are obviously not the only one who has been following Earnings Revision Breadth because…

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March 5, 2026

Black Swan Events ~ Buy Liquidity ~ Buy Technology

By Terence W. Brogan

Does everyone remember one of the worst-case scenarios for the global economy that we lived through in the past 50 years? For those that cannot recall, it was COVID, when the world economy was shut…

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March 4, 2026

VIX Approaching Critical Stress Levels

By Bob Brogan

We are patiently awaiting the $VIX, currently at 22.79, to advance into the 29–33 range or higher levels historically associated with heightened market stress. The VIX, introduced by Cboe Global Markets, measures implied volatility in…

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March 4, 2026

Dispersion ~ Broadest Cyclical Sectors ~ Industrials, Materials, Energy

By Terence W. Brogan

All this talk about market dispersion (market broadening), we wanted to show our favorite chart of this occurrence currently and over the past several years. Below we are looking at the % of stocks in…

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March 3, 2026

Global EM Central Banks Continue Building a Fortress Gold-Based Safety Net

By Bob Brogan

Emerging market central banks remain structurally committed buyers of gold. After record annual purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes from 2022 through 2024, buying has moderated but remains historically elevated — approximately 860 tonnes in 2025 and…

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March 3, 2026

Money Flow Model Turning Positive Today

By Terence W. Brogan

I have to say, I will never forget these last two pivot dates as they are proving to be extremely memorable. Not only is this the fastest turnover from Bull to Bear to Bull in…

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March 2, 2026

Remaining Calm with our MF Model

By Bob Brogan

The first 72 hours following major war headlines and the reopening of financial markets are typically ruled by panic, herd behavior, and loss aversion — producing fear-driven selling that often ignores long-term value. Experience shows…

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March 2, 2026

Buy The Bombs & Sell The Bugles ~ Money Flow Model Looks To Be Turning Positive Very Soon

By Terence W. Brogan

On Monday February 2nd (Groundhog Day) our Money Flow Model turned negative after 9 months of being positive, and we rotated to a defensive, non-cyclical, low beta position and sold our cyclical, high beta positions….

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February 27, 2026

Very Important Trend Line

By Terence W. Brogan

I have a very significant memory from when I was in 4th grade, it was a typical Sunday afternoon sitting at the dining room table doing my homework and across the table was my father…

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February 27, 2026

Positioning for Turbulence: The VIX Warning Signal

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 VIX indicator pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 26, 2026

A Market on Thin Ice

By Bob Brogan

The market appears stable, but the surface is deceiving. Major indices such as the S&P 500 continue to grind higher in an orderly fashion, masking what is increasingly fragile internals. Sector divergences are widening, leadership…

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February 26, 2026

High Beta ~ Money Flows Negative & Low Volatility ~ Money Flows Positive

By Terence W. Brogan

On Monday we showed the Relative Performance Sell Signal for High Momentum and High Beta and Buy Signals for Low Momentum and Low Beta. Today we are showing the High Frequency Money Flow Breadth of…

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February 25, 2026

Looking for our TRIX Price Indicator to go positive!

By Bob Brogan

Copper and silver markets are experiencing a significant resurgence as of February 25, 2026, driven by renewed Chinese demand and a surge in investor inflows. Copper has recaptured the $6.00/lb level on the COMEX, buoyed…

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February 25, 2026

Credit Spreads Teetering on The Edge of Widening ~ Sell High Yield Bonds

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday we spoke about selling good charts (positive momentum) which is another name for selling positive trends. Today we are looking at the best chart in the Bond market and that is the Risk-On chart…

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February 24, 2026

AI Shock and Trade Escalation Trigger Risk-Off Break

By Bob Brogan

Technicals continue to deteriorate as Trade Shock and AI disruption drive rotation from a technical perspective. U.S. equity markets are now collectively bearish, and Monday’s price action confirmed the shift. The sell-off was triggered by…

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