March 4, 2026

VIX Approaching Critical Stress Levels

By Bob Brogan

We are patiently awaiting the $VIX, currently at 22.79, to advance into the 29–33 range or higher levels historically associated with heightened market stress. The VIX, introduced by Cboe Global Markets, measures implied volatility in…

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March 3, 2026

Global EM Central Banks Continue Building a Fortress Gold-Based Safety Net

By Bob Brogan

Emerging market central banks remain structurally committed buyers of gold. After record annual purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes from 2022 through 2024, buying has moderated but remains historically elevated — approximately 860 tonnes in 2025 and…

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March 2, 2026

Remaining Calm with our MF Model

By Bob Brogan

The first 72 hours following major war headlines and the reopening of financial markets are typically ruled by panic, herd behavior, and loss aversion — producing fear-driven selling that often ignores long-term value. Experience shows…

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February 27, 2026

Positioning for Turbulence: The VIX Warning Signal

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 VIX indicator pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 26, 2026

A Market on Thin Ice

By Bob Brogan

The market appears stable, but the surface is deceiving. Major indices such as the S&P 500 continue to grind higher in an orderly fashion, masking what is increasingly fragile internals. Sector divergences are widening, leadership…

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February 25, 2026

Looking for our TRIX Price Indicator to go positive!

By Bob Brogan

Copper and silver markets are experiencing a significant resurgence as of February 25, 2026, driven by renewed Chinese demand and a surge in investor inflows. Copper has recaptured the $6.00/lb level on the COMEX, buoyed…

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February 24, 2026

AI Shock and Trade Escalation Trigger Risk-Off Break

By Bob Brogan

Technicals continue to deteriorate as Trade Shock and AI disruption drive rotation from a technical perspective. U.S. equity markets are now collectively bearish, and Monday’s price action confirmed the shift. The sell-off was triggered by…

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February 23, 2026

The Fear Indicator is activated!

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 (VIX indicator) pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 19, 2026

When King Dollar Gets Too Hated

By Bob Brogan

Speculators are betting big against King Dollar. EUR longs have surged to six-year highs, pushing toward 1.19–1.20, while USD net-short exposure has climbed to $20.5 billion, the most bearish since mid-2025. Market sentiment is stretched…

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February 18, 2026

The market looks calm. It isn’t.

By Bob Brogan

At first glance, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 appear steady. Volatility seems contained and headlines are quiet. But beneath the surface, conditions resemble past periods of transition or mounting stress. Put-call skew in the Nasdaq-100…

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