The 5-Year T-Note Futures have crashed decisively below their own -5.0% Standard Deviation ATR Band and are now heading toward the -7.0% ATR Band at 101.160. What concerns us most is not simply the target,…

The 10-year Treasury yield has surged to 5.35%, its highest level since 2002, while the 30-year has reached 5.72%, a 24-year high. This is happening as the Treasury floods the market with new debt and…

…the “Uh-Oh” moment is not coming; it’s already here obviously means this cartoon is being used as a “Wake Up Call metaphor for the financial markets. Wile E. Coyote has already run past the edge…

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson says the market’s extremely poor breadth “must be resolved one way or another.” While the S&P 500 remains near record highs, roughly half the market has already suffered bear-market-type declines. This…

Gold has pulled back roughly 5% from the start of 2026, but our Daily and Weekly Money Flow readings remain VERY, VERY BULLISH. This is an important divergence: price is weakening, but the underlying flow…

The real story is NOT simply whether the 10-year Treasury reaches 6%. It is the enormous amount of new debt competing for the world’s available investment capital. U.S. corporations are borrowing trillions for AI, data…

Our Money Flow and BA models have once again been correct in identifying the deterioration in the U.S. equity markets before it became obvious in the major indexes. While the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow…

The bond market is sending a warning investors should not ignore. MOVE, the bond market’s volatility index, has surged, while the 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5% and recently reached its highest levels since…

Stocks still look remarkably calm on the surface. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain trapped in their ranges, and the VIX has barely reacted. But underneath, the message is becoming harder to ignore. Bond-market volatility…

WHAT IS MOVE — AND WHY SHOULD EQUITY INVESTORS CARE? MOVE is essentially the “VIX of the bond market.” It measures expected volatility in U.S. Treasury yields. When MOVE rises, it tells us the bond…