August 25, 2026
Market Internals Are Cracking Beneath the Surface
Monday’s session reinforced the message. The S&P 500 slipped 0.28% to 7,652.86, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.76%, led lower by continued weakness in technology and semiconductor stocks. The Dow managed a 0.26% gain, highlighting…
August 24, 2026
Market Internals Are Cracking Beneath the Surface
The market’s technical picture changed materially over the past five trading days. As of Friday’s close, 13 of the 30 Mega-Cap Technology stocks—43%—had Daily Money Flow scores below the 50% breakeven level, the weakest reading…
August 21, 2026
AI May Change the World — But the AI Trade May Be in Danger
We believe Artificial Intelligence will transform the global economy. But the technology can succeed while the AI trade fails. Trillions are being committed to chips, data centers, power and AI infrastructure before the ultimate returns…
August 20, 2026
WHEN CORRELATIONS BREAK — THE MARKET’S HIDDEN WARNING
“The S&P 500 is still sending a bullish headline signal, but the internal message is becoming increasingly cautious. Leadership is narrowing, momentum is fracturing, and the stocks carrying the market are becoming less reliable. The…
August 19, 2026
Tomorrow’s employment data could be a major market catalyst.
Weak jobless claims would initially be bullish as investors price in greater odds of Fed easing. But our chart is sending a different warning: the S&P 500 remains near record highs while our SELL signals…
August 18, 2026
Good morning from the “Signal Report” it is Tuesday, August 18, 2026
If Thursday’s “Employment Report” is materially weaker than expected, the initial market reaction could be bullish, but the second reaction could be very bearish. A weak report could immediately push Treasury yields and the dollar…
August 17, 2026
Market Highs, Rising Risks
Equities are making fresh highs, but beneath the surface, risk is rising. Volatility is unusually cheap, investors remain under-positioned, and short-gamma dealers could fuel another powerful leg higher. The chase may not be over, but…
August 14, 2026
One of My Favorite Indicators: J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement System
Today, I am rolling out one of my favorite indicators, bestowed upon us by the creator of the Directional Movement Indicator (DMI), including the +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) and −DI (Negative Directional Indicator): J. Welles…
August 13, 2026
Nvidia Deal ($300 billion) Is the Beginning of an End For AI Compute Boom
Three Wall Street trading desks have given similar descriptions of what they see playing out in August: investors are selectively chasing gains without any real conviction, while the key issue remains the growing disconnect between…
August 12, 2026
URGENT CLIENT ALERT: NVIDIA — WARNING SIGNS BEFORE THE NEXT SHAKEOUT
Good morning,KEY POINTS:• Nvidia may be a great business, but its AI financing creates significant ecosystem risk.• Investors should watch the debt, financing structures, and counterparty exposure behind the massive AI infrastructure build-out.• If AI…