
December 22, 2025
The probability of an equity soft landing next year has declined materially. The soft-landing narrative is already embedded in asset prices, earnings expectations, and economic forecasts, leaving markets vulnerable to repricing if those assumptions fail….
December 19, 2025
Today, quad witching brings the simultaneous expiration of stock-index futures, options on stock-index futures, single-stock options, and index options—an event that often drives elevated volatility and trading volume. In 2025, quad witching occurs on March…
December 19, 2025
Today we are going to continue with our relative performance analysis of the Cyclical and look at them versus the pure Technology sector. As everyone knows, the S&P500 is skewed by its heavy weighting in…
December 18, 2025
Central banks have fundamentally altered the global gold market, transforming from net sellers to aggressive buyers in what represents one of the most significant shifts in monetary policy of the modern era. Over the past…
December 18, 2025
Today we are going to continue with our higher interest rate theme caused by the continued historical money printing over the past 15 years. As the saying goes; “To many dollars chasing too few goods”…
December 18, 2025
Since February 20, 2024, we can clearly see how Gold Futures made numerous technical tests of its own lower 200-dma and finally crossed above this rigid barrier above while unwinding Gold Futures and finally took…
December 17, 2025
Today we are going to look at two very important cyclical sectors (Financials & Industrials), there is the old sayings “You cannot have a Bull Market without Technology & Financials.” We are going to update…
December 16, 2025
Friday, we did a report on the bond market and hard assets seen through Cyclical/Value assets. Today we are going to do it again because the charts really look like rates are going higher as…
December 15, 2025
Gold futures continue to confirm a structurally bullish regime, as reflected in the attached chart, with price holding firmly near 4,380 after another push higher and remaining embedded along the upper ATR band. The advance…
December 15, 2025
Will the markets continue to broaden and Cyclicals outperform? What we can see from the first chart, our Money Flow Model is positive, and conditions are in place for that to happen. The prior two…
December 13, 2025
Over the past 30 years of increasingly experimental monetary policy—from Japan’s zero rates and early QE to the Fed’s post-2008 balance-sheet expansion—central banks have deployed more than $12 trillion to create durable growth. Instead of…
December 12, 2025
November 21st was our last report on yields where we reported a momentum reversal Buy Signal on the 10 Yr T-Note Yield. Today we are going to reiterate that report as the Money Flows on…
December 12, 2025
Owning physical gold has become essential in a world defined by extreme public debt, financial repression, and rising geopolitical fragmentation. Policymakers no longer view private wealth and public liabilities as separate; they increasingly see the…
December 11, 2025
Yes sir, it’s that time of year again, but here’s a little secret: Santa’s carrying a very big grudge this season, so don’t rub him the wrong way—more paperwork, more quotas, more dollars for the…
December 11, 2025
As all readers of this report know, we love economically sensitive equities when our Money Flow Model is positive because liquidity, as we measure it is expanding. We then turn to the traditional Relative Performance…