All Reports:

February 25, 2026

Credit Spreads Teetering on The Edge of Widening ~ Sell High Yield Bonds

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday we spoke about selling good charts (positive momentum) which is another name for selling positive trends. Today we are looking at the best chart in the Bond market and that is the Risk-On chart…

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February 24, 2026

AI Shock and Trade Escalation Trigger Risk-Off Break

By Bob Brogan

Technicals continue to deteriorate as Trade Shock and AI disruption drive rotation from a technical perspective. U.S. equity markets are now collectively bearish, and Monday’s price action confirmed the shift. The sell-off was triggered by…

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February 24, 2026

Momentum & Beta Factor Inversion

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday Jeff DeGraff came out on CNBC and talked about how Momentum is overbought/extended and it is time to Sell good charts in Technology. He also spoke about how momentum models can become negative correlated…

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February 23, 2026

The Fear Indicator is activated!

By Bob Brogan

When the S&P 500 (VIX indicator) pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….

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February 23, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Negative ~ Recommend Defensive Assets

By Terence W. Brogan

As you can see from the charts below, we are still hiding in our bunker because it is a major blizzard outside! Our Risk-On/Risk-Off Money Flow Model turned negative Feb 2nd, and we moved from…

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February 20, 2026

Private Equity on Fire!

By Terence W. Brogan

An old client of ours back in 2005 when he ran his hedge fund in Boston, George Noble, published a big, bad, bear tweet on the private equity market yesterday which I am showing in…

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February 19, 2026

When King Dollar Gets Too Hated

By Bob Brogan

Speculators are betting big against King Dollar. EUR longs have surged to six-year highs, pushing toward 1.19–1.20, while USD net-short exposure has climbed to $20.5 billion, the most bearish since mid-2025. Market sentiment is stretched…

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February 19, 2026

Technology Sector ~ Major Bearish/ Negative Divergence/ Sell Signal Triggered

By Terence W. Brogan

Today’s report is not going to come to a surprise to most readers given the crash in software that we saw over the past several weeks. However, what we are showing today tells us that…

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February 18, 2026

The market looks calm. It isn’t.

By Bob Brogan

At first glance, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 appear steady. Volatility seems contained and headlines are quiet. But beneath the surface, conditions resemble past periods of transition or mounting stress. Put-call skew in the Nasdaq-100…

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February 18, 2026

Concentration vs. Dispersion

By Terence W. Brogan

Sometime jargon can be very confusing, and some basic logic can help make a big, complicated picture allot smaller and easier to understand. I feel this way with all this talk about the term market…

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February 17, 2026

Hyperinflation Reset Looms: Gold as the Last Anchor

By Bob Brogan

In a recent New York interview with Daniela Cambone, Eric Griffin argued that gold’s $700 pullback and silvers $40 slide are not signs of weakness, but stress fractures in an overleveraged financial system. The real…

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February 17, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

On Groundhog Day February 2, 2000, my father brought our Money Flow Model public by calling the top on the stock market due to the money flows turning negative, the market topped March 10, 2000….

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February 13, 2026

Monetary Stability Requires Rules, Not Discretion

By Bob Brogan

The case for a gold price rule is not just about better central banking — it is about preserving economic stability before repeated monetary excess undermines our standard of living. History shows that when money…

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February 13, 2026

VIX Reversed Hard ~ Continue to Rotate Into Low Beta/Non-Cyclicals

By Terence W. Brogan

Last Thursday we showed the Inverted VIX in a negative trend, Monday we showed the VIX clearly in a positive trend and then Wednesday we showed the VIX at the trendline/200-day moving average Pivot Point….

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February 12, 2026

China Silver Market Signals Structural Physical Squeeze Despite Price Stabilization

By Bob Brogan

China’s silver market is showing clear signs of physical stress despite recent stabilization in global prices. Exchange inventories have fallen to multi-decade lows, and front-month contracts are trading in record backwardation, while spot buyers are…

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