August 14, 2026
High Cost of Capital ~ Historically Stalls Stock Market
I believe in Occam’s Razor and the KISS method, because keeping things simple is often the best way to understand the world around us. Today we’re going to take a straightforward look at the Cost…
August 13, 2026
Defensive/Non-Cyclicals Equities ~ Double Bottom Set Up
Today we’re highlighting some of our favorite Non‑Cyclical charts — Utilities, Staples, and Healthcare — across Large Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap indices. All three continue to show rising Money Flow momentum in their…
August 12, 2026
SEMI’s ~ Two Out of Three Negative
Today we want to share what we’ll be presenting at the CMT meeting: our new Semi/AI Money Flow & Relative Performance Breadth Models. We walk through the charts by first reviewing the traditional technical indicator…
August 11, 2026
Petrodollar
In 2022, during the breakout in inflation, I was finally enlightened by the whole long‑duration versus short‑duration classification framework. Quite honestly, I never truly understood the jargon outside the bond market. Throughout my career since…
August 10, 2026
Money Flow Model ~ Still Deeply Negative
Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…
August 7, 2026
Counter-Trend/ Sell High Beta & Momentum & Buy Low Beta & Momentum
June 10th was the last time we reviewed Low Beta and Low Momentum, where we issued a Bull Report. Today we’re expanding and reiterating that work by pairing those factors with their counterparts—High Beta and…
August 6, 2026
Sell Growth & Buy Value
July 28th was our last update on the Growth/Value trade, and with this strong bear‑market rally in Growth since Scott Bessent attempted to halt the rise in U.S. bond yields, we wanted to bring everyone…
August 5, 2026
Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative
Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…
August 4, 2026
The War Trade
Today we’re extending yesterday’s report because it’s clear to us that the War Trade is back on the table. I define the War Trade as a combination of rising inflation (Crude Oil) and rising cost…
August 3, 2026
The Trump, Warsh & Bessent Bailout Show ~ Yen Bailout = US Bailout
July 9th was our last report on the Yen Carry Trade and If we know the Yen and the Carry Trade have a very strong positive correlation with rising U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields, then it’s…