August 14, 2026

High Cost of Capital ~ Historically Stalls Stock Market

By Terence W. Brogan

I believe in Occam’s Razor and the KISS method, because keeping things simple is often the best way to understand the world around us. Today we’re going to take a straightforward look at the Cost…

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August 13, 2026

Defensive/Non-Cyclicals Equities ~ Double Bottom Set Up

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re highlighting some of our favorite Non‑Cyclical charts — Utilities, Staples, and Healthcare — across Large Cap, Mid Cap, and Small Cap indices. All three continue to show rising Money Flow momentum in their…

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August 12, 2026

SEMI’s ~ Two Out of Three Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we want to share what we’ll be presenting at the CMT meeting: our new Semi/AI Money Flow & Relative Performance Breadth Models. We walk through the charts by first reviewing the traditional technical indicator…

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August 11, 2026

Petrodollar

By Terence W. Brogan

In 2022, during the breakout in inflation, I was finally enlightened by the whole long‑duration versus short‑duration classification framework. Quite honestly, I never truly understood the jargon outside the bond market. Throughout my career since…

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August 10, 2026

Money Flow Model ~ Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 7, 2026

Counter-Trend/ Sell High Beta & Momentum & Buy Low Beta & Momentum

By Terence W. Brogan

June 10th was the last time we reviewed Low Beta and Low Momentum, where we issued a Bull Report. Today we’re expanding and reiterating that work by pairing those factors with their counterparts—High Beta and…

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August 6, 2026

Sell Growth & Buy Value

By Terence W. Brogan

July 28th was our last update on the Growth/Value trade, and with this strong bear‑market rally in Growth since Scott Bessent attempted to halt the rise in U.S. bond yields, we wanted to bring everyone…

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August 5, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re looking at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market is back to all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power and rising market prices continues to…

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August 4, 2026

The War Trade

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re extending yesterday’s report because it’s clear to us that the War Trade is back on the table. I define the War Trade as a combination of rising inflation (Crude Oil) and rising cost…

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August 3, 2026

The Trump, Warsh & Bessent Bailout Show ~ Yen Bailout = US Bailout

By Terence W. Brogan

July 9th was our last report on the Yen Carry Trade and If we know the Yen and the Carry Trade have a very strong positive correlation with rising U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields, then it’s…

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