July 22, 2026

High Beta Money Flow & Relative Performance Breadth Sell Signal

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re highlighting one of our favorite measures of market risk: the S&P 500 High Beta Index, paired with its Money Flow and Relative Performance breadth, along with the momentum/rate‑of‑change signal captured through the Breadth…

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July 21, 2026

Money Flow Diverging Price ~ Last Saw Before 22’Inflation Scare

By Terence W. Brogan

We’ve been seeing major divergences between our Money Flow Breadth and the market lately, and I wanted to dive deeper by doing an apples‑to‑apples comparison of our high‑frequency Money Flow Breadth and Price Breadth. We’re…

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July 20, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re starting the week with a look at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market continues to trade around all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power…

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July 17, 2026

Bullish Relative Performance ~ Large, Mid & Small Cap Value

By Terence W. Brogan

As of yesterday, the Russell Small Cap Value Index has now recorded a Relative Performance 104‑MACD momentum‑reversal Buy Signal. This joins the Large‑ and Mid‑Cap Relative Performance Buy Signals we’ve been tracking over the past…

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July 16, 2026

NDX100 Advance/Decline Line Major Bearish Money Flow Trend Break

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we want to highlight our proprietary Advance/Decline Line Money Flow Indicator, which we first introduced to clients in our March 17, 2021 report. Since that introduction five years ago, this indicator has delivered exceptional…

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July 15, 2026

Momentum Factor & Semi’s Money Flow Breadth ~ Recording Negative Divergent Sell Signals ~ Leading Indication of High Volatility

By Terence W. Brogan

Yesterday we reviewed the Money Flow Breadth of the S&P 500 High Beta Index and highlighted the risk of a further correction of 10% to 12%. Today we’re continuing that theme by examining the Money…

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July 14, 2026

S&P500 High Beta Money Flow & Relative Performance Breadth ~ Showing Significant Weakness ~ Leading Indication of High Volatility

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re examining the Money Flow Factor and Relative Performance Factor breadth of the S&P 500 High Beta Index—both individually and in combination. What we’re seeing is highly concerning: the SPHB price (long‑duration equities) is…

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July 13, 2026

Money Flow Model Still Deeply Negative

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re starting the week with a look at the Money Flow Model, which remains deeply negative even as the market continues to notch new all‑time highs. This divergence between weak broad‑based buying pressure/closing power…

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July 10, 2026

Non-Cyclicals Countertrend Buy Signal

By Terence W. Brogan

Today we’re reviewing the Relative Performance of our defensive, non‑cyclical equal‑weighted indices versus the S&P 500, as we are now recording countertrend Buy Signals across Large, Mid, and Small Caps. We allocate to defensive non‑cyclicals…

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July 9, 2026

The Yen Carry Trade

By Terence W. Brogan

Today, for the first time ever, I’m taking a look at the Yen Carry Trade — prompted by a request from my older brother, Brian Brogan, CMT. I’ve always been curious about what it is,…

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