
March 3, 2026
Emerging market central banks remain structurally committed buyers of gold. After record annual purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes from 2022 through 2024, buying has moderated but remains historically elevated — approximately 860 tonnes in 2025 and…
March 3, 2026
I have to say, I will never forget these last two pivot dates as they are proving to be extremely memorable. Not only is this the fastest turnover from Bull to Bear to Bull in…
March 2, 2026
The first 72 hours following major war headlines and the reopening of financial markets are typically ruled by panic, herd behavior, and loss aversion — producing fear-driven selling that often ignores long-term value. Experience shows…
March 2, 2026
On Monday February 2nd (Groundhog Day) our Money Flow Model turned negative after 9 months of being positive, and we rotated to a defensive, non-cyclical, low beta position and sold our cyclical, high beta positions….
February 27, 2026
I have a very significant memory from when I was in 4th grade, it was a typical Sunday afternoon sitting at the dining room table doing my homework and across the table was my father…
February 27, 2026
When the S&P 500 VIX indicator pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….
February 26, 2026
The market appears stable, but the surface is deceiving. Major indices such as the S&P 500 continue to grind higher in an orderly fashion, masking what is increasingly fragile internals. Sector divergences are widening, leadership…
February 26, 2026
On Monday we showed the Relative Performance Sell Signal for High Momentum and High Beta and Buy Signals for Low Momentum and Low Beta. Today we are showing the High Frequency Money Flow Breadth of…
February 25, 2026
Copper and silver markets are experiencing a significant resurgence as of February 25, 2026, driven by renewed Chinese demand and a surge in investor inflows. Copper has recaptured the $6.00/lb level on the COMEX, buoyed…
February 25, 2026
Yesterday we spoke about selling good charts (positive momentum) which is another name for selling positive trends. Today we are looking at the best chart in the Bond market and that is the Risk-On chart…
February 24, 2026
Technicals continue to deteriorate as Trade Shock and AI disruption drive rotation from a technical perspective. U.S. equity markets are now collectively bearish, and Monday’s price action confirmed the shift. The sell-off was triggered by…
February 24, 2026
Yesterday Jeff DeGraff came out on CNBC and talked about how Momentum is overbought/extended and it is time to Sell good charts in Technology. He also spoke about how momentum models can become negative correlated…
February 23, 2026
When the S&P 500 (VIX indicator) pushes into the +20% to +30% range, it signals aggressive demand for downside protection. Investors are actively accumulating puts and volatility hedges at levels historically associated with elevated stress….
February 23, 2026
As you can see from the charts below, we are still hiding in our bunker because it is a major blizzard outside! Our Risk-On/Risk-Off Money Flow Model turned negative Feb 2nd, and we moved from…
February 20, 2026
An old client of ours back in 2005 when he ran his hedge fund in Boston, George Noble, published a big, bad, bear tweet on the private equity market yesterday which I am showing in…